Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Cagliari
21.2%
Draw
19.2%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Cagliari
vs
1.01
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).