Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Elche
22.0%
Draw
25.4%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Elche
vs
1.35
Almeria
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).