Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Espanol
28.3%
Draw
31.1%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Espanol
vs
1.09
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).