Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.1%
Nice
14.3%
Draw
8.5%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Nice
vs
0.67
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).