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AHT: 02CSV

22 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.3%
Panionios
30.7%
Draw
45.1%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Panionios

vs
1.31

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).