Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
Farense
20.2%
Draw
69.5%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Farense
vs
1.83
Benfica
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-2
15.9%
0-3
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).