Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Sabadell
32.4%
Draw
31.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Sabadell
vs
0.86
Leganes
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
1-0
15.7%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).