Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Eibar
36.1%
Draw
25.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Eibar
vs
0.64
Burgos
Markets
BTTS27.2%
Over 0.577.9%
Over 1.544.2%
Over 2.519.2%
Over 3.56.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.1%
1-0
19.4%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).