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HHT: 31CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Nurnberg
26.2%
Draw
45.8%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Nurnberg

vs
1.67

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).