Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Oxford City
17.0%
Draw
70.0%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Oxford City
vs
2.71
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).