Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Bielefeld
24.2%
Draw
24.2%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Bielefeld
vs
1.27
Dresden
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).