Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Zaragoza
30.1%
Draw
44.7%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Zaragoza
vs
1.17
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).