Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.1%
Ingolstadt
20.8%
Draw
68.2%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Ingolstadt
vs
2.11
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.8%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).