Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.1%
Dinamo Moskva
21.3%
Draw
20.6%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Dinamo Moskva
vs
1.36
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS67.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).