Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Brescia
26.1%
Draw
21.0%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Brescia
vs
0.82
Verona
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).