Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Birmingham
28.7%
Draw
29.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Birmingham
vs
1.11
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).