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04 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
Dumbarton
28.8%
Draw
38.3%
Bonnyrigg Rose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Dumbarton

vs
1.52

Bonnyrigg Rose

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).