Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Nacional
22.2%
Draw
38.8%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Nacional
vs
1.64
Estoril
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
3-2
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).