Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Wrexham
16.0%
Draw
6.9%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Wrexham
vs
0.42
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS29.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
17.8%
3-0
12.3%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).