Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Southend
19.6%
Draw
11.1%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Southend
vs
0.79
Dorking
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.6%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).