Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Almeria
27.8%
Draw
28.5%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Almeria
vs
1.04
Alaves
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).