Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Pogoń Szczecin
25.4%
Draw
38.2%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.60
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).