Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Millwall
23.9%
Draw
14.1%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Millwall
vs
0.76
Reading
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).