Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
FC Koln
27.6%
Draw
15.6%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
FC Koln
vs
0.56
Welling United
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.4%
0-0
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
10.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).