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03 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.5%
Kryvbas
21.0%
Draw
11.4%
Chornomorets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Kryvbas

vs
0.65

Chornomorets

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).