Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Arka Gdynia
25.8%
Draw
25.1%
Nieciecza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Arka Gdynia
vs
1.17
Nieciecza
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).