Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.7%
Charleroi
27.9%
Draw
55.4%
St. Gilloise
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Charleroi
vs
1.47
St. Gilloise
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).