Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Northampton
32.2%
Draw
28.9%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Northampton
vs
0.78
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
0-0
16.9%
0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).