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16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.1%
Bristol Rvs
22.1%
Draw
39.7%
Crawley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.55

Crawley Town

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
3.7%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).