Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Bristol City
22.5%
Draw
64.8%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Bristol City
vs
1.94
Leeds
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.8%
0-1
12.4%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).