Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Moreirense
16.7%
Draw
73.4%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Moreirense
vs
2.22
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
12.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).