Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Sampdoria
30.6%
Draw
27.3%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sampdoria
vs
1.00
Cesena
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).