Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Vallecano
28.6%
Draw
34.2%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Vallecano
vs
1.16
Betis
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).