Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Middlesbrough
28.7%
Draw
16.4%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Middlesbrough
vs
0.68
Charlton
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).