Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Santander
25.6%
Draw
25.3%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Santander
vs
1.00
Eibar
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).