Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Frosinone
22.5%
Draw
13.9%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Frosinone
vs
0.84
Spezia
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).