Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Rochdale
25.5%
Draw
45.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Rochdale
vs
1.33
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).