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18 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.9%
Club Brugge
13.3%
Draw
7.8%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

2.96

Club Brugge

vs
0.88

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
1-1
5.9%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
5-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).