Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Santa Clara
31.4%
Draw
24.8%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Santa Clara
vs
0.86
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).