Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Stevenage
31.8%
Draw
38.1%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Stevenage
vs
0.97
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.552.6%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
16.2%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).