Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Liverpool
21.9%
Draw
17.6%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Liverpool
vs
1.17
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).