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AHT: 01CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.0%
Ebbsfleet
25.2%
Draw
55.8%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.76

Halifax

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).