Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.5%
Pau FC
10.2%
Draw
9.3%
Darlington
Expected Goals (xG)
3.93
Pau FC
vs
1.46
Darlington
Markets
BTTS75.3%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.0%
Over 2.590.5%
Over 3.578.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
6.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-1
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-2
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
5-0
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).