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16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Wigan
26.2%
Draw
34.1%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Wigan

vs
1.09

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).