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09 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Northampton
28.7%
Draw
41.8%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Northampton

vs
1.10

Bradford

Markets

BTTS37.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).