Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Nott'm Forest
28.0%
Draw
24.4%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.10
Burnley
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).