Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Luton
30.7%
Draw
32.9%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Luton
vs
1.11
Preston
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).