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09 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Fleetwood Town
21.7%
Draw
18.3%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Fleetwood Town

vs
0.89

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).