Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Nottingham Forest
34.9%
Draw
37.4%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.07
Everton
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.1%
1-1
15.3%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).