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07 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Wycombe
23.4%
Draw
27.7%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Wycombe

vs
1.08

Reading

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).